Foreshadowing for 2018

Last week, I gave an autopsy of 2016. On the flip side, I want to offer my predictions for 2018, given the current political zeitgeist:

As midterms become the central focus of altering the course of Trump’s administration. Every TV network, Newspaper, and Radio is going to frame this election as a “Referendum on Trump”. With that, there are some pieces of legislation that Republican Reps are going to have to defend when they go back to their home towns as they try to maintain seats. If the new American Health Care Act goes through, Reps are going to have to defend it at campaign events. I posit that this will prove especially difficult as, even in Red Strong Holds, the bill is ridiculously unpopular. The healthcare mess created by his administration will lead to heavy losses in 2018.

Second, if Trump does not deliver on jobs, his Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania House Seats will be in danger of flipping. Carrier and some major Auto makers have announced layoffs recently. If this trend continues, Blue Collar America and her House/Senate seats. Along those lines, the people who most bought into populist message are not feeling the benefits of or seeing his campaign promises.

On the other hand, this election will also be more like Democrats winning than Republicans losing. Constituents are not fans of Trump, but really do not have something else to start rooting for. Democrats need to create a unified message at some point, which hopefully will occur before 2018.

On the whole, I predict that 2018 will be a referendum on Trump where Democrats prove to the average American that Trump is not working, and needs to be more heavily held in check by a majority-Democrat Congress. Healthcare and jobs are catching up with the President and Democrats will hammer Republicans in their districts on it. However, Democrats will have to pick themselves up on their bootstraps, move on from lost special elections, and present a message to the American people.

Finally, remember in the back of your mind that no one is sure of tomorrow. Elections do not always go as predicted. 2016 shocked the world and 2018 could too. But, for now, I would put a yuuuge amount of money that Democrats will do well in 2018 Midterm Elections.